Open RAN Forecast Revised Upward, Says Dell’Oro Group

Photo Stefan Pongratz, Vice President and analyst with the Dell’Oro Group
“The momentum with both commercial deployments and the broader Open RAN movement continued to improve during 1H21, bolstering the thesis that Open RAN is here to stay,” said Stefan Pongratz, Vice President and analyst with the Dell’Oro Group.

Open RAN radio and baseband projections have been revised upwards, according to a recently published report by Dell’Oro Group – a market research firm focused on the telecommunications, networks, and data center IT industries. Total cumulative Open RAN revenues are now projected to approach $10 billion to $15 billion between 2020 and 2025.

“The momentum with both commercial deployments and the broader Open RAN movement continued to improve during 1H21, bolstering the thesis that Open RAN is here to stay,” said Stefan Pongratz, Vice President and analyst with the Dell’Oro Group. “We are adjusting the forecast upward to reflect the higher baseline and the improved pipeline.”

Additional highlights from the Dell’Oro Group Open RAN Advanced Research Report include:

  • By 2025, open RAN sales are anticipated to account for more than 10% of the entire RAN industry, indicating that both basic and sophisticated radios are gaining momentum in many areas
  • Open RAN Massive MIMO estimates have been revised upward to reflect the improved competitive environment and the improved market sentiment with upper mid-band Open RAN
  • The shift to Virtualized RAN (V-RAN) is moving at a little slower rate than the Open RAN transition. Nonetheless, total V-RAN predictions remain intact, with V-RAN anticipated to reach $2 billion to $3 billion by 2025

The Dell’Oro Group Open RAN Advanced Research Report provides a 5-year projection for different Open RAN sectors such as macro and small cell, regions, and baseband/radio, as well as an outline of the Open RAN and Virtualized RAN possibilities. The study also includes virtualized RAN predictions, as well as a discussion of the vision, ecosystem, market potential, and dangers.

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